| |Conventional wisdom says that once any stock-picking strategy nears “sure thing” status it should be doomed. If everyone knows the secret to vast riches, how could the strategy possibly work anymore? But there is a successful strategy that has been followed — and widely discussed — for decades, yet somehow persists as a relatively reliable money-maker: “momentum” investing, which is betting that the stock market’s recent winners will remain winners in the near term and, likewise, that the recent losers will remain losers. The strategy also is known as “relative strength” investing. Read Momentum Investing: It Works, But Why? on … Read more Why does momentum investing work?
| |In the business of managing money, there is a key word that often comes up but is easily misunderstood: robustness. What does it mean for an investment strategy to be “robust”? What does a robust strategy look like? Is it something that most investors find palatable? Look at the following returns for two different managers, Mr. low vol and Miss robust … Read more What does it mean for an investment strategy to be “robust”?
| |Many traders and investment managers have the desire to measure and compare CTA managers and / or trading systems. Risk-adjusted returns are one of the most important measures to consider since, given the inherent / free leverage of the futures markets, more return can always be earned by taking more risk. The most common risk-adjusted performance indicator is the Sharpe ratio. While the Sharpe ratio is definitely the most widely used, it is not without its issues and limitations. We believe the Sortino ratio improves on the Sharpe ratio in a few areas. However, the purpose of this article is … Read more Sortino: A Sharper Ratio
| |AG Capital is a global macro investment firm, trading futures across currencies, commodities, equity indices, and interest rates. The firm follows a 100% discretionary approach, relying on fundamental analysis to choose long and short themes, with technical analysis informing timing of entries and exits. Below is a sample piece showing how they see trading. This example sets up a trade viewed through the lens of a global macro firm … Read more AG Capital – Behind the scenes of a Global Macro Manager
| |Investors are always looking for ways to enhance cash returns – higher yield with liquidity and limited principal risk. The timing for using different enhanced cash techniques changes with market conditions. Widening the choice set through investing in alternative risk premia may be a way to meet enhanced cash goals without significantly increasing risk … Read more Changing the dynamics of enhanced cash – Switch from credit to alternative risk premia
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